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NFL Picks for 2016

Super Bowl 51

New England/Atlanta Under 59 - Loss

Thought we had it into the third quarter, but WOW,

what a comeback by the Patriots.  Great game.

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Conference Championships

Green Bay +5.5 - Loss

Green Bay/Atlanta Over 60.5 - WIN

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Division games

Green Bay at Dallas Over 53 - WIN

Pittsburgh +2.5 - WIN

That's more like it.......

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Wildcard Playoffs

Football 103 Detroit Lions +9½  - Loss

Football - 105 Miami Dolphins +10½  - Loss

Football - 107 New York Giants +5  - Loss

Awful weekend....sorry

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Week 17

Dallas at Philadelphia - Over 42.5 - Loss

Result:  Dallas 13 - Philadelphia 17

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Week 16

Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

No picks this weekend.

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Week 15

Pittsburgh -3 - WIN

Result:  Pittsburgh 24 - Cincinnati 20

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Week 14

NY Giants +4 - WIN

Result:  Dallas 7 - NY Giants 10

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Week 13

Washington at Arizona Over 48.5 - WIN

Result:  Washington 23 - Arizona 31

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Week 12

NY Giants -7 - WIN

Result:  NY Giants 27 - Cleveland 13

Miami -7.5 - Loss

Result:  San Francisco 24 - Miami 31

Tampa Bay +6 - WIN

Result:  Seattle 5 - Tampa Bay 14

New England -8 - Loss

Result:  New England 22 - NY Jets 17

Denver -3.5 - Loss

Result:  Kansas City 30 - Denver 27

 

Green Bay +3.5 - WIN

Result:  Green Bay 27 - Philadelphia 13

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Week 11

New England -11 - WIN

Result:  New England 30 - San Francisco 17

Detroit -6 - WIN

Result:  Jacksonville 19 - Detroit 26

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Week 10

Green Bay -2.5 - Loss

Result:  Green Bay 25 - Tennessee 47

Ugly Green Bay - truly ugly

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Week 9

Carolina -3 - PUSH

Result: Carolina 13 - LA 10

Pathetic game.....

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Week 8

Football - 255 Detroit Lions +1½ - Loss

Result:  Detroit 13 - Houston 20

Football - 259 New England Patriots -6 - WIN

Result:  New England 41 - Buffalo 25

Football - 261 New York Jets -2 - WIN

Result:  New York Jets 31 - Cleveland 28

Football - 267 San Diego Chargers +3½ - Loss

Result:  San Diego 19 - Denver 27

Football - 272 Dallas Cowboys -4½ - WIN

Result:  Philadelphia 23 - Dallas 29

Football - 271 Philadelphia Eagles/Dallas Cowboys over 43 - WIN

Result:  Philadelphia 23 - Dallas 29

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Week 7

Minnesota -3 - Loss

Result:  Minnesota 10 - Philadelphia 21

New England -7 - WIN

Result:  New England 27 - Pittsburgh 16

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Week 6

New England -7½ - WIN

Result: Cincinnati 17 at New England 35

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Week 5

Philadelphia at Detroit OVER 46 - WIN

Result:  Philadelphia 23 - Detroit 24

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Week 4

Anyone else feel like this season is just a little....off?

Carolina -3 - Loss

Result:  Carolina 33 - Atlanta 48

New England -7 - Loss

Result:  Buffalo 16 - New England 0

What can I say....not much.

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Week 3

Let's try a couple of totals this week.

Detroit at Green Bay Over 47.5  WIN

Result:  Detroit 27 - Green Bay 34

Chicago at Dallas Over 44.5  WIN

Result:  Chicago 17 - Dallas 31

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Week 2

It is still early in the season, so

Football - 281 Indianapolis Colts +6½ - Loss

Result:  Indianapolis 20 - Denver 34

The final score does not reflect what actually happened

in the last minute and 40 seconds of this game.  What a disappointment.

***********

Week 1

Taking it slow to start off the season.

God bless America on this day, 15 years after

our worst terror attack in history.

Never forget!  

Kansas City -6.5 - Loss

Result:  San Diego 27 - Kansas City 33

Kansas City overcame a deficit to win by 6 in OT.  

  

************

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Last season's picks in reverse order: 

 

NFL Picks for 2015

Super Bowl 50

It has been a good season, that culminates with two great

teams meeting in the Super Bowl.  Thanks for joining me again this

year....and best wishes to all.  See you next season!

Football - 101 Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos Over 45 - Loss

Result:  Carolina 10 - Denver 24

Final tally:  Season + playoffs 32-21-1 (60.4% winners)

Until next season....enjoy and be safe!

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Conference Championships

Getting on these early 1/17/15, as they are my best guesses.

Football - 311 New England Patriots -3 - Loss

Result:  New England 18 - Denver 20

Football - 314 Carolina Panthers -3 - WIN

Result:  Arizona 15 - Carolina 49

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Divisional Playoffs

Passing on the early Saturday game, and going with this in the late game.

Football - 303 Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals Over 49.5 - Loss

Result:  Green Bay 20 - Arizona 26

Drats!

Ok, let's try this for the first game on Sunday

Football - 305 Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers - Over 42 - WIN

Result:  Seattle 24 - Carolina 31

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Wild Card Playoffs

Football - 101 Kansas City Chiefs -3 WIN

Result:  Kansas City 30 - Houston 0

Football - 103 Seattle Seahawks -4 - Loss

Result:  Seattle 10 - Minnesota 9

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Week 17

Last week of the regular season....then on to the Playoffs

and Super Bowl.

 

Football - 303 Tampa Bay at Carolina Over 44.5 WIN

Result:  Tampa Bay 10 - Carolina 38

29-17-1 = 63% Winning record in regular season play.

On to the Playoffs...........

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Week 16

A lot at stake for some teams today......

Football 109 - Carolina Panthers -6.5 Loss

Result:  Carolina 13 - Atlanta 20

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Week 15

Going to tread lightly this week.......just a guess

Football 319 - Carolina Panthers/NY Giants Over 46.5 WIN

Result:  Carolina 38 - NY Giants 35

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Week 14

Can someone put some of the teams out of our misery....Unreal

what we have been witnessing this season.

Football - 105 Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 WIN

Result:  Pittsburgh 33 - Cincinnati 20

Football - 110 Carolina Panthers -8.5 WIN

Result:  Atlanta 0 - Carolina 38

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Week 13

I don't care what anybody says, this is all guesswork....some

are just better at it than me.

Football - 363 Seattle Seahawks -1.5 WIN

Result:  Seattle 38 - Minnesota 7

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Week 12

Just guesses folks............

Football - 252 HoustonTexans -3 WIN

Result:  New Orleans 6 - Houston 24

Football - 256 Cincinnati Bengals -9 WIN

Result: St. Louis 7 - Cincinnati 31

Football - 259 NY Giants/Washington Redskins Over 47 Loss

Result:  NYGiants 14 - Washington 20

Football - 264 Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 WIN

Result:  Buffalo 22 - Kansas City 30

Football - 271 Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 Loss

Result:  Pittsburgh 30 - Seattle 39

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Week 11

All I can do is guess this week........

Football - 455 Dallas Cowboys -1 WIN

Result:  Dallas 24 - Miami 14

Football - 461 New York Jets -3 Loss

Result:  NYJets 17 - Houston 24

Football - 469 Cincinnati Bengals +5 WIN

Result:  Cincinnati 31 - Arizona 34

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Week 10

One guess this weekend.....

Football - 262 Philadelphia Eagles -6 Loss

Result:  Miami 20 - Philadelphia 19

Up 16-3 at one point early, Philadelphia not only didn't cover, but lost the game.

Of course losing our quarterback in the 3rd quarter didn't help. :(

Crazy weekend so far....just glad my gut said

go light this weekend.

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Week 9

Guesses this week.................

Football - 460 New Orleans -7.5 Loss

Result:  Tennessee 34 - New Orleans 28

Football - 462 New England -14 WIN

Result:  Washington 10 - New England 27

Football - 463 Green Bay/Carolina Over 46.5 WIN

Result:  Green Bay 29 - Carolina 37

Football - 465 Atlanta -7 Loss

Result:  Atlanta 16 - San Francisco 17

Football - 467 New York Giants -1.5 WIN

Result:  New York Giants 32 - Tampa Bay 18

I reserve the right to add or get off a game an hour before it starts, 

so check back often.  You know, like in real life.  Thanks

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Week 8

Football - 253 Minnesota at Chicago Over 42.5 WIN

Result:  Minnesota 23 - Chicago 20

Football - 265 San Diego at Baltimore Over 50 WIN

Result:  San Diego 26 - Baltimore 29

I reserve the right to add or get off a game an hour before it starts, 

so check back often.  You know, like in real life.  Thanks

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Week 7

More guesses....

Football - 457 Houston/Miami Over 44 WIN

Result:  Houston 26 - Miami 44

Football - 467 New Orleans +4.5 WIN

Result:  New Orleans 27 - Indianapolis 21

Football - 469 Oakland/San Diego Over 47 WIN

Result:  Oakland 37 - San Diego 29

I reserve the right to add or get off a game an hour before it starts, 

so check back often.  You know, like in real life.  Thanks

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Week 6

Even more guesses........

Buffalo and Jacksonville are headed for London next week,

so I will go against them this week.  Hope it works....

Football - 253 Cincinnati -3 WIN

Result:  Cincinnati 34 at Buffalo 21

Football - 257 Houston +2.5 WIN

Result:  Houston 31 at Jacksonville 20

I will also give this a try..........

Football 273 New England -9.5 Loss

Result:  New England 34 - Indianapolis 27

Back-door cover....smh

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Week 5

More guesses...........

Football - 459 Chicago Bears +9 - WIN

Result:  Chicago 18 - Kansas City 17

Football - 466 Cincinnati Bengals -3 - Push

Result:  Seattle 24 - Cincinnati 27

Football - 467 Arizona Cardinals -3 - WIN

Result:  Arizona 42 - Detroit 17

Football - 469 New England Patriots -9 - WIN

Result:  New England 30 - Dallas 6

Football - 472 Oakland Raiders +4.5 - Loss

Result:  Denver 16 - Oakland 10

If I want to add any others, I will do so within an hour of gametime.

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Week 4

Sunday

Football - 256 Atlanta Falcons -6 WIN

Result:  Houston 21 - Atlanta 48

Football - 268 San Diego Chargers -6½ Loss

Result:  Cleveland 27 - San Diego 30

Football - 274 Arizona Cardinals -7 Loss

Result:  St. Louis 24 - Arizona 22

Sunday Night

Football - 276 New Orleans Saints -3 WIN

Result:  Dallas 20 - New Orleans 26 (OT)

Monday Night

No play

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Week 3

Sunday and Monday Night  

Football - 461 Pittsburgh Steelers +1 = WIN

Result: Pittsburgh 12 - St. Louis 6

Football - 472 New England Patriots -13½ = WIN

Result:  Jacksonville 17 - New England 51

Football - 474 Baltimore Ravens -2½  = Loss

Result:  Cincinnati 28 - Baltimore 24

Football - 481 San Francisco 49ers +6½ = Loss

Result:  San Francisco 7 - Arizona 47

Football - 484 Seattle Seahawks -15 = WIN

Result:  Chicago 0 - Seattle 26

Football - 490 Green Bay Packers -6½ = WIN

Result:  Kansas City 28 - Green Bay 38

No Play Thursday night.  The Giants are favored (1) because they are home, and (2) because they have beaten the Skins the last 4 meetings.  So far the Skins are at the top of their game in defense, so we will see if the Giants have anything to counter that tonight.  At 0-2 and the fact they were ahead and lost both games coming into this one, doesn't give me a lot of confidence in the Giants tonight.  I want to see more of the Skins also.  Well what do you know, the Giants won.  Good for them.

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Week 2

Going with these in Week 2.

San Diego +3.5 at Cincinnati = Loss

Result:  San Diego 19 - Cincinnati 24

St. Louis -3 at Washington = Loss

Result:  St. Louis 10 - Washington 24

Seattle +3.5 at Green Bay = Loss

Result: Seattle 17 - Green Bay 27

You know the old saying "when it ceases to be fun, it's time to do something else"...

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Week 1

I have no opinion on tonight's game (Thursday), as far as the

side or total.  So, no pick tonight.  

Good luck if you play it.

Turned out if you waited to play that game, it was a Push in garbage time

at the end at -7 on the Pats, with Pit getting a late TD.

Monday Night (early game):

 I want to see how most of these teams perform in the first week.  So, I am laying off the Sunday games and just going with one play on Monday.

Philadelphia -3 at Atlanta = Loss

Result Philadelphia 24 - Atlanta 26

******************************************************************

NFL Picks for 2014

57.4% winners on the season!

Hope to see you in 2015

Super Bowl

New England (pickem) (WIN) !

Result:  New England 28 - Seattle 24

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CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIPS

Seattle -7 (Loss)

Result:  Green Bay 22 - Seattle 28

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DIVISIONAL ROUND

Baltimore +7 (WIN)

Result:  Baltimore 31 - New England 35

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WILDCARD Playoffs

Saturday

Weather conditions could play a part in both games on Saturday (rain)

Carolina -6 (WIN)

Result:  Arizona 16 - Carolina 27

Sunday

Detroit at Dallas Over 48 (Loss)

Result:  Detroit 20 - Dallas 24

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WEEK 17

Green Bay -7.5 (WIN)

Result:  Detroit 20- Green Bay 30

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WEEK 16

Monday Night

Denver -3 (Loss)

Result:  Denver 28 - Cincinnati 37

******

Just going with one on Sunday

Carolina -4 (Push)

Result:  Cleveland 13 - Carolina 17

Crazy day of games

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WEEK 15

Atlanta +3 (Loss)

Result:  Pittsburgh 27 - Atlanta 20

Buffalo +4.5 (WIN)

Result:  Green Bay 13 - Buffalo 21

Indianapolis -6.5 (WIN)

Result:  Houston 10 - Indianapolis 17

Minnesota +8 (WIN)

Result:  Minnesota 14 - Detroit 16

Cleveland -1 (Loss)

Result:  Cincinnati 30 - Cleveland 0

San Francisco +10 (Push)

Result:  San Francisco 7 - Seattle 17

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WEEK 14

Miami -3 (Loss)

Result:  Baltimore 28 - Miami 13

Pittsburgh +3 (WIN)

Result:  Pittsburgh 42 - Cincinnati 21

Cleveland +3.5 (WIN)

Result:  Indianapolis 25 - Cleveland 24

Arizona +2.5 (WIN)

Result:  Kansas City 14 - Arizona 17

New England -3.5 (WIN)

Result:  New England 23 - San Diego 14

No Monday Night play

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WEEK 13

Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours

Seattle/San Francisco OVER 40 (Loss)

Result:  Seattle 19 - San Fran 3

Sunday games:

Washington +10 (Loss)

Result:  Washington 27 - Indianapolis 49

New Orleans +4 (WIN)

Result:  New Orleans 35 - Pittsburgh 32

Cincinnati/Tampa Bay OVER 44 (Loss)

Result:  Cincinnati 14 - Tampa Bay 13

Buffalo -3 (WIN)

Result:  Cleveland 10 - Buffalo 26

Atlanta +2 (WIN)

Result:  Arizona 18 - Atlanta 29

Call me crazy, and maybe I am, but I will try:

New England at Green Bay UNDER 59 (WIN)

Result:  New England 21 - Green Bay 26

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WEEK 12

New England -7 (WIN)

Result:  Detroit 9 - New England 34

Green Bay -8 (Loss)

Result:  Green Bay 24 - Minnesota 21

Denver -6.5 (Loss)

Result:  Miami 36 - Denver 39

Very disappointing Sunday.  Almost had the Denver game

until they allowed Miami a TD in final minutes, and then came

back with a sure TD themselves, but RB laid down short of

the goal to let the clock play out.  Lousy backdoor cover.

Two games Monday night.  Be back if I see anything I like.

No Monday Night plays

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WEEK 11

San Francisco -3.5 (WIN)

Result:  San Francisco 16 - NY Giants 10

Monday Night

Pittsburgh -6.5 (Loss)

Result:  Pittsburgh 27 - Tennessee 24

What a lousy showing by the Steelers.  Should have

layed off this game altogether.

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WEEK 10

Sunday Nov. 9

Dallas -7 (WIN)

Result:  Dallas 31 - Jacksonville 17

Monday Night

Philadelphia -7 (WIN)

Over 48 (WIN)

Result:  Carolina 21 - Philadelphia 45

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WEEK 9

Sunday Night Nov. 2

No plays Sunday

Monday Night

Indianapolis at NY Giants - Over 51 (WIN)

Result:  Indianapolis 40 - NY Giants 24

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WEEK 8

Thursday, Oct. 24

Denver -8 (WIN)

Result:  San Diego 21 - Denver 35

Sunday, Oct. 27

Baltimore +1 (Loss)

Result:  Baltimore 24 - Cincinnati 27

Almost had it, were it not for Steve Smith's pass interference call.

Monday, Oct. 28

Dallas -9 (Loss)

Result:  Washington 20 - Dallas 17

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WEEK 7

Sunday, Oct. 19

Indianapolis -3 (Win)

Result:  Cincinnati 0 - Indianapolis 27

Kansas City +3.5 (Win)

Result:  Kansas City 23 - San Diego 20

Monday, Oct. 19

Houston +3.5 (Loss)

Result:  Houston 23 - Pittsburgh 30

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Thursday night, Oct 16

NYJets at New England Under 46 (Loss)

Result:  NYJets 25 - New England 27

So much for all that rain they predicted.

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WEEK 6

Passing on Thursday night game.

Sunday Night, Oct. 12

NY Giants +1 (Loss)

Result: NY Giants 0 - Philadelphia 27

Let me just say.......$%#@&%$ !!!

Monday Night, Oct. 13

Let's try this again......

San Francisco -3.5 (WIN)

Result:  San Fran 31 - St. Louis 17

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WEEK 5

Sunday, Oct. 5

Dallas -6.5 (loss, win but no cover)

Result:  Houston 17 - Dallas 20

Both teams enter this game 3-1.  While Dallas has Seattle on deck next week, I am more concerned about the focus of Houston...as the Texans will have a quick turn around to play on Thursday vs. division rival Indianapolis.  The Colts are already 2 division wins ahead of Houston. 

Cleveland +1.5 (WIN)

Result:  Cleveland 29 - Tennessee 28

Have you noticed that 1-3 Cleveland only lost by 3 to Pittsburgh and 2 to Baltimore, and beat New Orleans?  I think this bye was needed.

Rams/Eagles OVER 47.5 (WIN)

Result:  St. Louis 28 - Philadelphia 34

Monday, Oct. 6

Seattle -7 (WIN)

Result:  Seattle 27 - Washington 17

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Thursday night, Oct. 2

Green Bay -8.5 (WIN)

Result:  Vikings 10 - Packers 42

Rain in the forecast, field could be messy, or not.  Still, taking Green Bay when they have pretty much a full complement of their key players.  Minnesota will have either Teddy Bridgewater or Christian Ponder at QB.  I am not waiting to hear, because it really doesn't matter to me.  We'll have to see if Rodgers is stymied by Minnesota's Zimmer defense.  

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WEEK 4

Thursday night, Sept. 25

NYGiants at Washington

Obviously both teams will be fighting to avoid going 1-3, basically

a death sentence to even make the playoffs.  

I am hard pressed to find any value in the line or total.

Pass

********

Sunday, Sept. 28

Saints at Cowboys OVER 53.5 (WIN)

Final:  New Orleans 17 - Dallas 38

New Orleans now 1-3 and Cowboys 3-1.  I don't think

anyone expected that.

No play on Monday night

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WEEK 3

On a road trip this week, so picks will be later than usual.

Update:  Sorry, no picks this week.  See you for Week 4.

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WEEK 2

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WEEK 1

Thursday, September 4, 2014

Green Bay at Seattle:  No play tonight

   

Thursday night's game showed us something about Seattle.  (1) They were not suffering from a Super Bowl slump, and (2) the offense has improved.  The "12th" man is still alive and well also.....always an advantage for them.

Sunday day games, September 7, 2014

I thought about passing on the first week of games, to sort of get a feel for the teams, and looking for improvements and downturns.  However, I decided to pick some home teams I feel have the best chance of winning their games this week.  Here are the teams and lines as of 4pm ET Saturday:

 Pittsburgh Steelers -7 (Loss)

Final:  Cleveland 27 - Pittsburgh 30

Leading 27-3 at the half, Pittsburgh allowed Cleveland to tie it up, and only

scored 3 pts the entire second half with the game winning field goal.  What a crock!

Philadelphia Eagles -10½ (Win)

Final:  Jacksonville 17 - Philadelphia 34

Jacksonville lead 17-0 at the half and then a miracle happened. Philadelphia

scored 34 unanswered points in the second half!

Chicago Bears -6½ (Loss)

Final:  Buffalo 23 - Chicago 20

Uhhhh....Bears, take notice.  Former defenses are embarrassed.

 

Sunday night, September 7, 2014

Denver Broncos -7½ (Loss)

Final:  Indianapolis 24 - Denver 31

The Broncos took a page from the Steelers' playbook.  Leading 24-7 at

the half, they allowed the Colts to come back with 17 while only

scoring 7 themselves in the second half.  Very disappointed in this one.

No Monday night plays this week.